Research
Commentary

Jason Bordoff and Richard Nephew examine what reimposing sanctions on Iran would mean for oil markets. They assess the likelihood that sanctions reimposition would pull large volumes of Iranian oil off the market and what impact that would have on oil markets and how the possibility of reimposition affects Iran’s negotiating posture within OPEC.

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Commentary

Richard Nephew explores what would happen should President-elect Trump attempt to renegotiate the Iran nuclear deal in a new commentary. Nephew outlines and addresses three key questions that face the next Administration: Can the future president get more from Iran as part of a negotiated arrangement?; How much more does he need to get to declare success?; What will he risk in order to get it?

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Commentary

On the four-year anniversary of Hurricane Sandy, which devastated communities along the Northeastern coast of the United States and caused significant power, fuel and transportation disruptions to millions of families and businesses in the Tri-State region, non-resident Fellow Robert Hallman writes that since the storm, considerable progress has been made to improve the resilience of the electric grid and prioritize power restoration to critical fuel supply infrastructure; however, there is still an urgent need for local governments to do more.

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Commentary

Richard Nephew questions what will happen to the Iran nuclear deal under a Donald Trump Administration. He indicates that, based on Trump’s rhetoric throughout the campaign season and the realities of what’s needed to maintain the deal, the JCPOA has a high chance of failing.

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Commentary

Antoine Halff reflects on OPEC’s agreement in Algiers on September 28, the cartel’s first attempt in eight years to manage the oil market through supply cuts. Halff notes that in appearance the deal could indeed be seen as a triumph of self-reassertion and regained market power, but on closer inspection it shows how formidable the challenges facing the organization remain – and how increasingly ill-equipped OPEC appears in its efforts to address them. 

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Commentary

Luay Al Khatteeb writes about the state of the Iraq economic and energy situation, and new challenges for the energy sector. 

Iran, sanctions
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Commentary

Richard Nephew argues that far from only imposing sanctions or sanctions-like authorities when U.S. interests are directly impinged, sanctions are increasingly being used as a substitute for more effective action, to avoid taking more risky (but probably necessary) action, and to address domestic political needs in the United States. He uses the example of bill H.R. 5461, or the Iranian Leadership Asset Transparency Act as one example of when the United States should choose not to act (i.e. not pass the bill). 

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Commentary

Matt Robinson and Richard Nephew argue that the most strategic choice for Washington lawmakers to address the crisis in Venezuela was not to act, but instead to permit the situation in Venezuela  tounravel on its own. In this, the United States has demonstrated a considered approach to statecraft by avoiding the temptation to involve itself in the situation in Caracas.

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Commentary

In front of the seventh Clean Energy Ministerial, David Sandalow takes stock. What has the Clean Energy Ministerial accomplished in its first seven years? What should it do for the next seven years? Sandalow offers reflections and recommendations, concluding that the Clean Energy Ministerial is making a real difference but that it can - and must - do more in the years ahead.

Research
Commentary

Iranian elections on February 26 appear to have empowered reformist and moderate-leaning candidates, notwithstanding attempts on the part of hardline members of the Iranian government to steer the elections decisively in their own favor.

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