Trump’s Big Oil bear hug won’t help the AI race
Renewables offer a cheaper and faster way to meet surging power demands, said the CEO of the largest US electricity provider.
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Reports by Noah Kaufman, Ariane Desrosiers & Sarah Doctor • December 05, 2024
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Rapidly reducing greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels to address the severe threats of climate change requires economic transformations that pose challenges for regions heavily dependent on coal, oil, natural gas, or other carbon-intensive industries. The United States is the world’s largest producer of oil and natural gas and the fourth-largest producer of coal, and communities across the country depend heavily on fossil fuel industries for jobs, investments, and public revenues that fund schools and other critical services. These communities will need considerable support to successfully navigate a global transition away from fossil fuels, and a better understanding of their local economies will help policymakers design and implement pragmatic support. However, scant evidence exists for such use today.
This report, part of the Resilient Energy Economies initiative co-led by the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University SIPA, uses a novel dataset and case studies to establish a baseline of local economic performance in fossil fuel–dependent communities between 2004 and 2019. This period captures the peak and first decade of decline of the US coal industry as well as the shale revolution that boosted US oil and gas production.
The report finds:
While economic outcomes vary widely across regions, the analysis in this report indicates that, absent policy support, fossil fuel–dependent communities that fail to diversify their local economies face acute risks from the clean energy transition. The results of this report can contribute to forthcoming research assessing the effectiveness of government support for fossil fuel–dependent communities, which should enable improved policymaking going forward.
The Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) framework[1] was designed to help accelerate the energy transition in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) while embedding socioeconomic[2] considerations into its planning and implementation.
This analysis provides an overview of changes in production and economic outcomes in US oil and gas regions, grouping them by recent trends and examining their impact on local economies.
Full report
Reports by Noah Kaufman, Ariane Desrosiers & Sarah Doctor • December 05, 2024