Big banks predict catastrophic warming, with profit potential
Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and an international banking group have quietly concluded that climate change will likely exceed the Paris Agreement's 2 degree
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Reports by Gautam Jain • December 12, 2022
This report represents the research and views of the author. It does not necessarily represent the views of the Center on Global Energy Policy. The piece may be subject to further revision. Contributions to SIPA for the benefit of CGEP are general use gifts, which gives the Center discretion in how it allocates these funds. More information is available at https://energypolicy.columbia.edu/about/partners. Rare cases of sponsored projects are clearly indicated. For a full list of financial supporters of the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University SIPA, please visit our website at https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/partners. See below a list of members that are currently in CGEP’s Visionary Annual Circle.
(This list is updated periodically)
Air Products
Anonymous
Jay Bernstein
Breakthrough Energy LLC
Children’s Investment Fund Foundation (CIFF)
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Ray Rothrock
Kimberly and Scott Sheffield
Tellurian Inc.
A significant gap exists globally between the financing needed and the current level of spending to meet net-zero goals. The problem is particularly acute for emerging market and developing economies (EMDE), as they face higher spending on the energy transition as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) and are likely to be affected more severely by climate change than advanced economies. Thematic bonds that target specific investment themes, including climate change mitigation, can help narrow the financing gap, but EMDE’s share of the global thematic bond market remains small.
This report explains the urgency of raising financing for EMDE to address climate change and discusses the evolution of thematic bonds. It finds that the asset class has the potential to achieve significant further growth. As part of Columbia University’s Financing the Energy Transition initiative, it offers policy recommendations to governments and development banks interested in increasing thematic bond issuances from these countries. Options to consider include addressing local currency risk using structured finance, adapting institutional frameworks such as Green Bond Principles (GBP) to national contexts, addressing accessibility issues in domestic markets, and providing tax incentives.
Other key takeaways from the report include the following:
The Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) framework[1] was designed to help accelerate the energy transition in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) while embedding socioeconomic[2] considerations into its planning and implementation.
This analysis provides an overview of changes in production and economic outcomes in US oil and gas regions, grouping them by recent trends and examining their impact on local economies.
Full report
Reports by Gautam Jain • December 12, 2022